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Will Bo Nix have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

ActiveLiquidity $1,181·Volume $3,765·Ends Jan 27, 2027
Price now:Yes23%No77%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 05:14computed 5h ago
Smart money leans
No
77% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
77%price77%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$944 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered47¢77¢at 05:14(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3w agoResolvesin 75d(Jan 27, 2027)Liquidity$1,181
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $944 riding on it.

The price of 77% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 47¢; the price was 77¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $944 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 05:14
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d ago0xf9f2…5cbaTopBuyYes22¢$2
5d agocrckrMidSellYes22¢$10
2w agocrckrMidBuyYes19¢$9
2w agocrckrMidSellNo70¢$14
3w agocrckrMidBuyNo47¢$10
3w ago0x73e3…3239MidBuyNo47¢$969