Will Bo Nix have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
ActiveLiquidity $1,181·Volume $3,765·Ends Jan 27, 2027
Price now:Yes23%No77%
Smart money leans
No
77% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
77%price77%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$944 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered47¢77¢at 05:14(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3w agoResolvesin 75d(Jan 27, 2027)Liquidity$1,181
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $944 riding on it.
The price of 77% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 47¢; the price was 77¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $944 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:14
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $2 |
| 5d ago | crckrMid | Sell | Yes | 22¢ | $10 |
| 2w ago | crckrMid | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $9 |
| 2w ago | crckrMid | Sell | No | 70¢ | $14 |
| 3w ago | crckrMid | Buy | No | 47¢ | $10 |
| 3w ago | 0x73e3…3239Mid | Buy | No | 47¢ | $969 |