Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 13?
ActiveLiquidity $21.8K·Volume $33·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$30.0K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$20.0K
72h +$20.0K
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 05:31(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy10h agoResolvesin 10h 29m(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$21.8K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $30.0K riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $30.0K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$20.0K, +$20.0K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:31
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h ago | 0xf67e…a55cMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $2,997 |
| 13h ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.1¢ | $4 |
| 13h ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.1¢ | $4 |
| 13h ago | 0xf67e…a55cMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $3,996 |
| 13h ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.1¢ | $10 |
| 14h ago | 0xf67e…a55cMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $1,499 |
| 14h ago | 0xf67e…a55cMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $4,995 |
| 14h ago | 0xf67e…a55cMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $4,995 |
| 14h ago | 0xf67e…a55cMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $1,499 |
| 2d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.0¢ | $71 |
| 2d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.0¢ | $71 |