Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 13?
ActiveLiquidity $22.5K·Volume $310·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$16.4K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$21.7K
72h +$21.7K
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 05:19(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy10h agoResolvesin 10h 41m(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$22.5K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $16.4K riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$21.7K, +$21.7K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:19
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h ago | 0x550e…0ad6Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5,249 |
| 14h ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.1¢ | $8 |
| 14h ago | 0xf67e…a55cMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $4,676 |
| 14h ago | 0xf67e…a55cMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $10 |
| 14h ago | 0xf67e…a55cMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5,304 |
| 14h ago | 0xf67e…a55cMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5,304 |
| 15h ago | 0xf16f…9f16Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $1,118 |
| 1d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | Yes | 1.3¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | Yes | 1.3¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | Yes | 1.2¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | Yes | 1.2¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | Yes | 1.5¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | Yes | 1.5¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | Yes | 1.6¢ | $18 |
| 1d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | Yes | 1.6¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | Yes | 2.9¢ | $207 |