Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 12?
ActiveLiquidity $26.2K·Volume $225·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$964
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 07:59(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$26.2K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$964 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:59
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.1¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.2¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.2¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.4¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.6¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | Sharky6999Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $393 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | Sharky6999Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $83 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.4¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.4¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.7¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.6¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 3d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | Sharky6999Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 3d ago | Sharky6999Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $119 |
| 3d ago | Sharky6999Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $119 |
| 3d ago | Sharky6999Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $40 |
| 3d ago | Sharky6999Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $125 |
| 3d ago | Sharky6999Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $73 |
| 3d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 3d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.9¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 3d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 3d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 3d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $4 |
| 3d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.2¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.9¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.3¢ | $0 |