Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 10?
ActiveLiquidity $49.1K·Volume $1,161·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,575
Smart money entered88¢100¢at 05:19(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$49.1K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 88¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,575 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:19
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | bc1qqmhrl6xzynvj2f7ywm58jcc5t7av23uyqv0hqgMid | Buy | Yes | 3.8¢ | $41 |
| 2d ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | No | 89¢ | $193 |
| 2d ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | No | 89¢ | $193 |
| 2d ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | No | 89¢ | $76 |
| 2d ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | No | 89¢ | $76 |
| 2d ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | No | 89¢ | $53 |
| 2d ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | No | 89¢ | $53 |
| 2d ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | No | 89¢ | $47 |
| 2d ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | No | 89¢ | $47 |
| 2d ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | No | 89¢ | $356 |
| 2d ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | No | 81¢ | $52 |
| 2d ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $71 |
| 2d ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | No | 86¢ | $86 |
| 2d ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | No | 86¢ | $86 |