Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 12?
ActiveLiquidity $46.5K·Volume $4,011·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$3,653
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 07:59(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$46.5K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$3,653 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:59
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0xb26f…5b27Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $100 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.2¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.2¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xf16f…9f16Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $200 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x7db2…1b3bMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $2,718 |
| 2d ago | 0x7db2…1b3bMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $399 |
| 2d ago | 0x7db2…1b3bMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $399 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.6¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.3¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.7¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.6¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 2.8¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 2.9¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 2.5¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 2.1¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 2.2¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 2.3¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 2.4¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 2.7¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x0D7F225D060ef21465650F250FBdB1FD0279b826-1789652790620Mid | Buy | Yes | 3.3¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xf16f…9f16Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $194 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $5 |