Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 15?
ActiveLiquidity $7,351·Volume $34·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$4,407 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$5,005
72h +$5,553
Smart money entered97¢99¢at 07:58(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 8h 1m(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$7,351
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $4,407 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$5,005, +$5,553 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:58
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.2¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.2¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.2¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.2¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.2¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 6h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 6h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 7h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.2¢ | $0 |
| 7h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $0 |
| 8h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 8h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 8h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 8h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.2¢ | $0 |
| 9h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $0 |
| 9h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.4¢ | $0 |
| 9h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.3¢ | $0 |
| 9h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 9h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 9h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 9h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 11h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.4¢ | $0 |
| 11h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.2¢ | $0 |
| 11h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 12h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.5¢ | $0 |
| 13h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.4¢ | $0 |
| 13h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 13h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 13h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 14h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 14h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.2¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5 |
| 14h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.8¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.9¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.6¢ | $0 |
| 15h ago | Sharky6999Mid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $981 |
| 15h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 15h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.7¢ | $0 |
| 15h ago | Sharky6999Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $975 |