Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 12?
ActiveLiquidity $27.4K·Volume $353·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$8,546
72h +$31.2K
Smart money entered23¢100¢at 05:19(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy13h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$27.4K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 23¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$8,546, +$31.2K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:19
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13h ago | 0xd83d…3bd8Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $42 |
| 13h ago | 0xd83d…3bd8Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $60 |
| 13h ago | 0xd83d…3bd8Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $1,045 |
| 13h ago | 0xd83d…3bd8Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $11 |
| 13h ago | 0xd83d…3bd8Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $79 |
| 13h ago | 0xd83d…3bd8Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $9 |
| 13h ago | 0xd83d…3bd8Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $4,378 |
| 14h ago | 0x6f11…15b5Mid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $95 |
| 15h ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Sell | Yes | 22¢ | $1,113 |
| 16h ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 76¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 76¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $11 |
| 16h ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $11 |
| 16h ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $11 |
| 16h ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $11 |
| 17h ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $7 |
| 17h ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $7 |
| 17h ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $7 |
| 17h ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $7 |
| 17h ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $4 |
| 17h ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $4 |
| 17h ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 69¢ | $3 |
| 17h ago | grasstoucher69Top | Buy | Yes | 69¢ | $3 |
| 19h ago | aosdijfMid | Buy | No | 6.1¢ | $15 |
| 19h ago | aosdijfMid | Buy | No | 6.1¢ | $15 |
| 20h ago | aosdijfMid | Buy | No | 6.4¢ | $70 |
| 20h ago | aosdijfMid | Buy | No | 6.4¢ | $70 |
| 23h ago | aosdijfMid | Buy | No | 6.1¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | aosdijfMid | Buy | No | 6.1¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | aosdijfMid | Buy | No | 6.3¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | aosdijfMid | Buy | No | 6.3¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | aosdijfMid | Buy | No | 6.3¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | aosdijfMid | Buy | No | 6.3¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | aosdijfMid | Buy | No | 6.9¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | aosdijfMid | Buy | No | 7.0¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | aosdijfMid | Buy | No | 6.8¢ | $15 |
| 1d ago | aosdijfMid | Buy | No | 6.8¢ | $15 |
| 1d ago | aosdijfMid | Buy | No | 6.4¢ | $34 |
| 1d ago | aosdijfMid | Buy | No | 6.4¢ | $32 |
| 1d ago | aosdijfMid | Buy | No | 9.1¢ | $104 |
| 1d ago | aosdijfMid | Buy | No | 9.1¢ | $104 |
| 1d ago | aosdijfMid | Buy | No | 5.5¢ | $396 |
| 1d ago | aosdijfMid | Buy | No | 5.5¢ | $396 |
| 1d ago | aosdijfMid | Buy | No | 5.1¢ | $28 |
| 1d ago | aosdijfMid | Buy | No | 5.1¢ | $28 |
| 1d ago | aosdijfMid | Buy | No | 5.1¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | aosdijfMid | Buy | No | 5.1¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | aosdijfMid | Buy | No | 5.1¢ | $13 |