Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 15?
ActiveLiquidity $6,831·Volume $37·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Yes21%No79%
Smart money leans
Yes
32% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
32%price32%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,595 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$3,173
Smart money entered95¢32¢at 05:20(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 2d(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$6,831
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,595 riding on it.
The price of 32% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 32¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,595 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$3,173 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:20
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $1,492 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $1,492 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $166 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $166 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $40 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $40 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $3,001 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $3,001 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $50 |