Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 14?
ActiveLiquidity $22.7K·Volume $165·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Yes21%No79%
Smart money leans
Yes
29% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
29%price30%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,473 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$2,076
Smart money entered97¢29¢at 05:22(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 34h 37m(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$22.7K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,473 riding on it.
The price of 29% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 29¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,473 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$2,076 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:22
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $2,156 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $297 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $297 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $138 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $138 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $248 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $271 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $78 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $78 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $315 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $315 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $780 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $780 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $383 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $383 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | 0x66ad…cc4eMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $200 |