Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 13?
ActiveLiquidity $22.5K·Volume $415·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Yes91%No9%
Smart money leans
No
11% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
11%price11%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,143 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,495
72h +$3,217
Smart money entered7.5¢11¢at 20:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesin 3d(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$22.5K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,143 riding on it.
The price of 11% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 7.5¢; the price was 11¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,143 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,495, +$3,217 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 20:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Buy | No | 8.0¢ | $570 |
| 5h ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Buy | No | 8.0¢ | $570 |
| 1d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Buy | No | 7.0¢ | $71 |
| 1d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Buy | No | 7.0¢ | $71 |
| 1d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Buy | No | 7.0¢ | $535 |
| 1d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Buy | No | 7.0¢ | $502 |