TailSlip
Log in

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 12?

ActiveLiquidity $34.6K·Volume $2,110·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 05:20computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
60%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$16.9K
72h +$16.9K
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 05:20(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy14h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$34.6K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$16.9K, +$16.9K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 05:20
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
14h agoaosdijfMidBuyNo0.3¢$1
14h agoaosdijfMidBuyNo0.3¢$2
14h agoaosdijfMidBuyNo0.3¢$2
14h agoaosdijfMidBuyNo0.5¢$0
14h agoaosdijfMidBuyNo0.5¢$3
14h agoaosdijfMidBuyNo0.5¢$0
14h agoaosdijfMidBuyNo0.5¢$1
14h agoaosdijfMidBuyNo0.5¢$1
14h agoaosdijfMidBuyNo0.5¢$1
14h agoaosdijfMidBuyNo0.5¢$0
14h agoaosdijfMidBuyNo0.6¢$5
14h ago0x76ee8afF0E69dD3Ab73601DEc270486C95DD471C-1772048810598MidBuyYes99¢$723
14h agoaosdijfMidBuyNo0.6¢$3
14h agoaosdijfMidBuyNo0.7¢$0
14h ago0x76ee8afF0E69dD3Ab73601DEc270486C95DD471C-1772048810598MidBuyYes99¢$723
14h agoaosdijfMidBuyNo0.7¢$6
14h ago0x76ee8afF0E69dD3Ab73601DEc270486C95DD471C-1772048810598MidBuyYes99¢$723
14h ago0x76ee8afF0E69dD3Ab73601DEc270486C95DD471C-1772048810598MidBuyYes99¢$723
14h ago0x76ee8afF0E69dD3Ab73601DEc270486C95DD471C-1772048810598MidBuyYes99¢$723
14h ago0x76ee8afF0E69dD3Ab73601DEc270486C95DD471C-1772048810598MidBuyYes99¢$723
14h ago0x76ee8afF0E69dD3Ab73601DEc270486C95DD471C-1772048810598MidBuyYes99¢$723
14h agoaosdijfMidBuyNo0.8¢$0
14h ago0x76ee8afF0E69dD3Ab73601DEc270486C95DD471C-1772048810598MidBuyYes99¢$723
14h ago0x76ee8afF0E69dD3Ab73601DEc270486C95DD471C-1772048810598MidBuyYes99¢$723
14h ago0x76ee8afF0E69dD3Ab73601DEc270486C95DD471C-1772048810598MidBuyYes99¢$723
14h agoaosdijfMidBuyNo0.8¢$2
14h ago0x76ee8afF0E69dD3Ab73601DEc270486C95DD471C-1772048810598MidBuyYes99¢$723
14h agoaosdijfMidBuyNo1.0¢$0
14h agoaosdijfMidBuyNo0.8¢$5
14h ago0x76ee8afF0E69dD3Ab73601DEc270486C95DD471C-1772048810598MidBuyYes99¢$723
14h ago0x76ee8afF0E69dD3Ab73601DEc270486C95DD471C-1772048810598MidBuyYes98¢$723
14h ago0x76ee8afF0E69dD3Ab73601DEc270486C95DD471C-1772048810598MidBuyYes98¢$723
14h ago0x76ee8afF0E69dD3Ab73601DEc270486C95DD471C-1772048810598MidBuyYes98¢$723
14h ago0x76ee8afF0E69dD3Ab73601DEc270486C95DD471C-1772048810598MidBuyYes98¢$723
14h ago0x76ee8afF0E69dD3Ab73601DEc270486C95DD471C-1772048810598MidBuyYes97¢$723
14h ago0x76ee8afF0E69dD3Ab73601DEc270486C95DD471C-1772048810598MidBuyYes97¢$723
15h ago0x66ad…cc4eMidBuyYes95¢$238
15h ago0x66ad…cc4eMidBuyYes95¢$2,712
15h ago0x66ad…cc4eMidBuyYes95¢$238
15h ago0x66ad…cc4eMidBuyYes95¢$102
15h ago0x66ad…cc4eMidBuyYes95¢$102
15h ago0x66ad…cc4eMidBuyYes95¢$95
15h ago0x66ad…cc4eMidBuyYes95¢$30
18h agoaosdijfMidBuyNo2.8¢$42
19h agoaosdijfMidBuyNo1.0¢$0
19h agoaosdijfMidBuyNo1.0¢$44
19h agoaosdijfMidBuyNo1.0¢$44
19h agoaosdijfMidBuyNo0.7¢$9
21h agoaosdijfMidBuyNo1.0¢$1
22h agoaosdijfMidBuyNo1.0¢$2