AWS service disrupted by October 31?
ActiveLiquidity $72·Volume $2,131·Ends Nov 1, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$500 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$700
72h +$700
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 05:14(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy7h agoResolvesended(Nov 1, 2026)Liquidity$72
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $500 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $500 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$700, +$700 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:14
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7h ago | 0x49f3…76fbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $200 |
| 7h ago | 0x49f3…76fbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $200 |
| 7h ago | 0x49f3…76fbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $300 |