Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios
ActiveLiquidity $1,535·Volume $28·Ends Nov 16, 2026
Price now:Juan Pablo Varillas38%Tomas Barrios63%
Smart money leans
Juan Pablo Varillas
37% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
37%price37%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$124 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$270
72h +$270
Smart money entered34¢37¢at 19:49(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy9h agoResolvesin 6d(Nov 16, 2026)Liquidity$1,535
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Juan Pablo Varillas", with $124 riding on it.
The price of 37% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 34¢; the price was 37¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $124 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$270, +$270 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 19:49
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9h ago | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816Top | Buy | Juan Pablo Varillas | 34¢ | $26 |
| 9h ago | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816Top | Buy | Juan Pablo Varillas | 34¢ | $26 |
| 9h ago | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816Top | Buy | Juan Pablo Varillas | 34¢ | $37 |
| 9h ago | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816Top | Buy | Juan Pablo Varillas | 34¢ | $37 |
| 9h ago | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816Top | Buy | Juan Pablo Varillas | 34¢ | $61 |
| 9h ago | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816Top | Buy | Juan Pablo Varillas | 34¢ | $61 |