Matsuyama: Joel Schwaerzler vs Kaichi Uchida
ActiveLiquidity $909·Volume $0·Ends Nov 18, 2026
Price now:Joel Schwaerzler0%Kaichi Uchida100%
Smart money leans
Kaichi Uchida
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$11.8K
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 05:17(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 5d(Nov 18, 2026)Liquidity$909
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Kaichi Uchida", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$11.8K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:17
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x5e66…f899Mid | Buy | Kaichi Uchida | 100¢ | $215 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e66…f899Mid | Buy | Kaichi Uchida | 100¢ | $215 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e66…f899Mid | Buy | Kaichi Uchida | 100¢ | $3,367 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e66…f899Mid | Buy | Kaichi Uchida | 100¢ | $2,337 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e66…f899Mid | Buy | Kaichi Uchida | 100¢ | $2,337 |
| 2d ago | 0x5e66…f899Mid | Buy | Kaichi Uchida | 100¢ | $3,367 |
| 2d ago | 0xa427…7c1dMid | Buy | Joel Schwaerzler | 53¢ | $73 |
| 2d ago | 0xc308…7b09Mid | Buy | Joel Schwaerzler | 55¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | 0x58e8…ff0fMid | Buy | Joel Schwaerzler | 52¢ | $96 |
| 2d ago | kitopesivanMid | Buy | Joel Schwaerzler | 52¢ | $102 |
| 2d ago | kitopesivanMid | Buy | Joel Schwaerzler | 52¢ | $102 |
| 2d ago | kitopesivanMid | Buy | Joel Schwaerzler | 49¢ | $103 |