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Brisbane 3: Carl Overbeck vs Juncheng Shang

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $803·Volume $0·Ends Nov 18, 2026
Price now:Carl Overbeck0%Juncheng Shang100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 06:44computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Juncheng Shang
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$29.2K
Smart money entered81¢100¢at 06:44(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 4d(Nov 18, 2026)Liquidity$803
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Juncheng Shang", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 81¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$29.2K on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 06:44
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2d agopvc975MidBuyJuncheng Shang100¢$605
2d ago0xbc3a…a2abMidBuyJuncheng Shang100¢$200
2d ago0xbc3a…a2abMidBuyJuncheng Shang100¢$10,989
2d agothirdt1meMidBuyJuncheng Shang97¢$194
2d agoyuiui1025MidBuyJuncheng Shang94¢$9
2d agoyuiui1025MidBuyJuncheng Shang94¢$11
2d agothirdt1meMidBuyJuncheng Shang94¢$188
2d agothirdt1meMidBuyJuncheng Shang95¢$760
2d agothirdt1meMidBuyJuncheng Shang95¢$1,140
2d agothirdt1meMidBuyJuncheng Shang95¢$285
2d agothirdt1meMidBuyJuncheng Shang95¢$475
2d agothirdt1meMidSellJuncheng Shang95¢$116
2d agothirdt1meMidSellJuncheng Shang93¢$186
2d agothirdt1meMidSellJuncheng Shang93¢$5
2d agoyuiui1025MidSellJuncheng Shang92¢$9
2d agothirdt1meMidSellJuncheng Shang92¢$276
2d agothirdt1meMidSellJuncheng Shang92¢$460
2d agothirdt1meMidSellJuncheng Shang92¢$736
2d agothirdt1meMidSellJuncheng Shang92¢$184
2d agothirdt1meMidSellJuncheng Shang93¢$142
2d agoalpheclabs2MidBuyJuncheng Shang73¢$53
2d agothirdt1meMidSellJuncheng Shang79¢$127
2d agoyuiui1025MidBuyJuncheng Shang69¢$7
2d agoyuiui1025MidBuyJuncheng Shang69¢$8
2d agothirdt1meMidBuyJuncheng Shang69¢$207
2d agothirdt1meMidBuyJuncheng Shang69¢$345
2d agothirdt1meMidBuyJuncheng Shang69¢$511
2d agothirdt1meMidSellJuncheng Shang73¢$146
2d agothirdt1meMidSellJuncheng Shang70¢$140
2d agothirdt1meMidBuyJuncheng Shang73¢$8
2d agothirdt1meMidBuyJuncheng Shang73¢$34
2d agothirdt1meMidBuyJuncheng Shang73¢$18
2d agothirdt1meMidBuyJuncheng Shang72¢$144
2d agothirdt1meMidBuyJuncheng Shang72¢$558
2d agoyuiui1025MidBuyJuncheng Shang69¢$7
2d agoyuiui1025MidBuyJuncheng Shang69¢$8
2d agothirdt1meMidBuyJuncheng Shang69¢$138
2d agothirdt1meMidBuyJuncheng Shang65¢$195
2d agoyuiui1025MidBuyJuncheng Shang72¢$7
2d agoyuiui1025MidBuyJuncheng Shang72¢$9
2d agothirdt1meMidBuyJuncheng Shang72¢$19
2d agothirdt1meMidBuyJuncheng Shang72¢$216
2d agothirdt1meMidBuyJuncheng Shang72¢$360
2d agothirdt1meMidBuyJuncheng Shang72¢$864
2d agothirdt1meMidBuyJuncheng Shang72¢$557
2d agothirdt1meMidSellJuncheng Shang73¢$146
2d agothirdt1meMidSellJuncheng Shang74¢$148
2d agoyuiui1025MidSellJuncheng Shang74¢$7
2d agothirdt1meMidSellJuncheng Shang73¢$146
2d agothirdt1meMidSellJuncheng Shang70¢$129