Orleans: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery
ActiveLiquidity $2,745·Volume $135·Ends Nov 17, 2026
Price now:Shintaro Mochizuki0%Calvin Hemery100%
Smart money leans
Calvin Hemery
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$299
Smart money entered59¢100¢at 05:15(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 4d(Nov 17, 2026)Liquidity$2,745
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Calvin Hemery", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 59¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$299 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:15
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0xc4fe…601fMid | Buy | Calvin Hemery | 48¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | 0xc4fe…601fMid | Buy | Calvin Hemery | 48¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | kitopesivanMid | Buy | Calvin Hemery | 74¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | kitopesivanMid | Buy | Calvin Hemery | 73¢ | $44 |
| 2d ago | kitopesivanMid | Buy | Calvin Hemery | 80¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | 0xb26b…7baaMid | Buy | Calvin Hemery | 57¢ | $97 |
| 2d ago | kitopesivanMid | Buy | Shintaro Mochizuki | 43¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | 0xa427…7c1dMid | Buy | Shintaro Mochizuki | 61¢ | $279 |
| 2d ago | kitopesivanMid | Buy | Shintaro Mochizuki | 61¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | randomguyfromMid | Buy | Shintaro Mochizuki | 79¢ | $252 |
| 2d ago | 0xa427…7c1dMid | Buy | Shintaro Mochizuki | 79¢ | $166 |
| 2d ago | kitopesivanMid | Buy | Shintaro Mochizuki | 56¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | kitopesivanMid | Buy | Calvin Hemery | 42¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | kitopesivanMid | Buy | Calvin Hemery | 42¢ | $3 |