Matsuyama: Niels McDonald vs Koki Matsuda
ActiveLiquidity $3,831·Volume $182·Ends Nov 17, 2026
Price now:Niels McDonald50%Koki Matsuda50%
Smart money leans
Koki Matsuda
50% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
50%price50%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$3,396 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$7,215
72h +$7,215
Smart money entered46¢50¢at 18:12(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 6d(Nov 17, 2026)Liquidity$3,831
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Koki Matsuda", with $3,396 riding on it.
The price of 50% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 46¢; the price was 50¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $3,396 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$7,215, +$7,215 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 18:12