Orleans: Adrien Gobat vs Daniel Altmaier
ActiveLiquidity $3,775·Volume $0·Ends Nov 17, 2026
Price now:Adrien Gobat0%Daniel Altmaier100%
Smart money leans
Daniel Altmaier
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$576
Smart money entered93¢100¢at 05:18(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 4d(Nov 17, 2026)Liquidity$3,775
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Daniel Altmaier", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$576 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:18
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0xadc1…c19bTop | Buy | Daniel Altmaier | 99¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | 0xadc1…c19bTop | Buy | Daniel Altmaier | 99¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | 0xadc1…c19bTop | Buy | Daniel Altmaier | 99¢ | $31 |
| 2d ago | 0xadc1…c19bTop | Buy | Daniel Altmaier | 99¢ | $31 |
| 2d ago | 0xadc1…c19bTop | Buy | Daniel Altmaier | 99¢ | $81 |
| 2d ago | 0xadc1…c19bTop | Buy | Daniel Altmaier | 99¢ | $81 |
| 2d ago | randomguyfromMid | Buy | Daniel Altmaier | 88¢ | $251 |
| 2d ago | 0xc4fe…601fMid | Buy | Daniel Altmaier | 75¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0xc4fe…601fMid | Buy | Daniel Altmaier | 75¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | 0x58e8…ff0fMid | Buy | Adrien Gobat | 32¢ | $103 |