Senegal vs. Sudan: O/U 4.5
ActiveLiquidity $143·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Over100%Under0%
Smart money leans
Over
100% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$4,862
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 07:33(43% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$143
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Over", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 43% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$4,862 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:33
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Mid | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $1,499 |
| 2d ago | Rock.SanMid | Buy | Over | 99¢ | $274 |
| 2d ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Mid | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $1,499 |
| 2d ago | 0x4c09…c918Mid | Buy | Over | 100¢ | $1,499 |
| 2d ago | 0xec1e…0d9cMid | Buy | Over | 99¢ | $89 |
| 2d ago | 0xec1e…0d9cMid | Buy | Over | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | SleepingChickenMid | Sell | Under | 62¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | SleepingChickenMid | Buy | Under | 73¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | SlickRick123Mid | Buy | Under | 75¢ | $146 |