Spread: Egypt (-2.5)
ActiveLiquidity $1,105·Volume $5·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Egypt99%Malawi1%
Smart money leans
Egypt
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
60%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,834
72h +$2,834
Smart money entered69¢99¢at 06:44(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy12h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$1,105
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Egypt", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 69¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,834, +$2,834 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:44
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12h ago | ARocky33Top | Buy | Egypt | 77¢ | $18 |
| 12h ago | ARocky33Top | Buy | Egypt | 77¢ | $18 |
| 12h ago | Rocky31Mid | Buy | Egypt | 69¢ | $958 |
| 12h ago | claudesportsMid | Buy | Malawi | 31¢ | $37 |
| 12h ago | claudesportsMid | Buy | Malawi | 31¢ | $66 |
| 12h ago | claudesportsMid | Buy | Malawi | 31¢ | $430 |
| 12h ago | Rocky31Mid | Buy | Egypt | 69¢ | $958 |
| 12h ago | Rocky31Mid | Buy | Egypt | 47¢ | $19 |