Will DR Congo win on 2026-11-12?
ActiveLiquidity $1,259·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$5,029
Smart money entered82¢100¢at 06:05(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$1,259
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 82¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$5,029 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:05
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | pvc975Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $133 |
| 1d ago | 0xec1e…0d9cMid | Sell | No | 0.2¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0xec1e…0d9cMid | Sell | No | 0.2¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0xec1e…0d9cMid | Buy | No | 0.1¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | tradecraftMid | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | tradecraftMid | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | tradecraftMid | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $23 |
| 1d ago | tradecraftMid | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $23 |
| 1d ago | tradecraftMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $18 |
| 1d ago | tradecraftMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $18 |
| 1d ago | sugar-superTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | sugar-superTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | sugar-superTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | sugar-superTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | sugar-superTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $55 |
| 1d ago | sugar-superTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | sugar-superTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $55 |
| 1d ago | sugar-superTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | sugar-superTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $26 |
| 1d ago | sugar-superTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $26 |
| 1d ago | sugar-superTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | sugar-superTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $263 |
| 1d ago | sugar-superTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $23 |
| 1d ago | sugar-superTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | sugar-superTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $263 |
| 1d ago | sugar-superTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $23 |
| 1d ago | sugar-superTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $235 |
| 1d ago | sugar-superTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $235 |
| 1d ago | tradecraftMid | Buy | No | 18¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | tradecraftMid | Buy | No | 18¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | sugar-superTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $14 |
| 1d ago | sugar-superTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $14 |
| 1d ago | sugar-superTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $1,309 |
| 1d ago | sugar-superTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $1,309 |