Will Flamengo win Brazil Série A?
ActiveLiquidity $4,620·Volume $15.6K·Ends Dec 16, 2026
Price now:Yes80%No20%
Smart money leans
Yes
80% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
95%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
80%price80%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,577 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$182
72h +$208
Smart money entered74¢80¢at 04:57(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesin 35d(Dec 16, 2026)Liquidity$4,620
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $2,577 riding on it.
The price of 80% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 74¢; the price was 80¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,577 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$182, +$208 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:57
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | GooooooollllllllllTop | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $90 |
| 5h ago | GooooooollllllllllTop | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $90 |
| 1d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 19¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 19¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | GooooooollllllllllTop | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $26 |
| 3d ago | GooooooollllllllllTop | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $91 |
| 3d ago | GooooooollllllllllTop | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $12 |
| 3d ago | GooooooollllllllllTop | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $63 |
| 3d ago | GooooooollllllllllTop | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $7 |
| 3d ago | GooooooollllllllllTop | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $4 |
| 3d ago | GooooooollllllllllTop | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $18 |
| 3d ago | GooooooollllllllllTop | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $107 |
| 3d ago | GooooooollllllllllTop | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $243 |
| 3d ago | GooooooollllllllllTop | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $4 |
| 3d ago | GooooooollllllllllTop | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $79 |
| 3d ago | GooooooollllllllllTop | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $66 |
| 4d ago | GooooooollllllllllTop | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $75 |
| 4d ago | GooooooollllllllllTop | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | GooooooollllllllllTop | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | GooooooollllllllllTop | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $166 |
| 1w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 23¢ | $4 |
| 4w ago | GooooooollllllllllTop | Buy | Yes | 63¢ | $8 |
| 5w ago | GooooooollllllllllTop | Buy | Yes | 71¢ | $1,522 |