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Will Trump and Xi kiss at APEC?

Ends Dec 1, 2026PoliticsGeopoliticsChinaTrumpCulturexi jinpingTrump-Xi SummitTrump-XiAPEC

Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China to attend the APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting in Shenzhen on November 18-19, 2026, where he is expected to meet Xi Jinping. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this visit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released during the calendar days (China Standard Time) of the visit to qualify. A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify. For the purposes of this market, the visit begins when Donald Trump enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of China and ends once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (China Standard Time) that Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory at the end of the visit. If Donald Trump does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of China by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.

Markets

Delayed 1h · as of 06:43
MarketSmart money leansConsensusPrice at snapshotDivergenceSmart walletsLiquidity
Will Trump and Xi kiss at APEC?No100%100%0.0pp1$240