0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz for any single date from market creation to the specified date, according to IMF PortWatch, is 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily figures are the total transit calls by container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships that IMF PortWatch publishes for each date. This market will resolve to “Yes” as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a daily figure of 0, or to “No” once IMF PortWatch has published data for every date in the period with no such figure. Revisions made after that point will not be considered, unless subject to the data integrity clause below. If any data is still unpublished 14 calendar days after the period’s final date, this market will resolve on the most recent data published at that time. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the Transit Calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730.
Markets
Delayed 1h · as of 03:10| Market | Smart money leans | Consensus | Price at snapshot | Divergence | Smart wallets | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by January 31, 2027? | — | — | — | — | — | $1 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by March 31, 2027? | — | — | — | — | — | $1 |